مدل های ساخت سناریو و برنامه ریزی: مواجهه با عدم قطعیت و پیچیدگی ۲۰۱۴
Models of Scenario Building and Planning: Facing Uncertainty and Complexity 2014

1. Cover

2. Title

1  Why Scenario Planning?

2  The Missions of Scenarios

3  The Fundamentals of Environmental Analysis

4  Information, Intelligence and Competitive Intelligence

5  The Principles of Scenario Building

6  From Scenario Building to Scenario Planning: Intuitive Logic and Trend Impact Analysis

7  From Scenario Building to Scenario Planning: Cross-Impact Analysis and Morphological Analysis

8  Scenario Planning, Strategies and Mental Models

9  Scenarios in Decision-Making

10  Scenarios and the Organisation

13. Appendix A The Most Important Present Trends in the Globalised World

14. Appendix B A Reminder of Probability Theory for Scenario Applications

15. Notes

16. References

17. Index