مدیریت خطر سیلاب: پژوهش و عمل ۲۰۰۸
Flood Risk Management: Research and Practice 2008

1. Front cover

2. Table of contents

3. Foreword

4. Committees

5. KEYNOTE PRESENTATION

6. Coastal flooding: A view from a practical Dutchman on present and future strategies

7. TECHNICAL PRESENTATIONS

8. Inundation modelling

9. Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading method

10. Hydrodynamic modelling and risk analysis in RAMFLOOD project

11. Testing and application of a practical new 2D hydrodynamic model

12. Floods study through coupled numerical modeling of 2D surface and sewage network flows

13. Modelling of flooding and analysis of pluvial flood risk – demo case of UK catchment

14. An integrated approach to modelling surface water flood risk in urban areas

15. Estimation of flood inundation probabilities using global hazard indexes based on hydrodynamic variables

16. Flood modeling for risk evaluation – a MIKE FLOOD vs. SOBEK 1D2D benchmark study

17. Comparing forecast skill of inundation models of differing complexity: The case of Upton upon Severn

18. Comparison of varying complexity numerical models for the prediction of flood inundation in Greenwich, UK

19. Fast 2D floodplain modeling using computer game technology

20. Grid resolution dependency in inundation modelling: A case study

21. 2D overland flow modelling using fine scale DEM with manageable runtimes

22. Detailed 2D flow simulations as an onset for evaluating socio-economic impacts of floods

23. Ensemble Prediction of Inundation Risk and Uncertainty arising from Scour (EPIRUS): An overview

24. Flood risk assessment using broad scale two-dimensional hydraulic modelling – a case study from Penrith, Australia

25. Modelling and analysis of river flood impacts on sewage networks in urban areas

26. Coastal flood risk modelling in a data rich world

27. A multi-scale modelling procedure to quantify effects of upland land management on flood risk

28. Updating flood maps using 2D models in Italy: A case study

29. Real-time validation of a digital flood-inundation model: A case-study from Lakes Entrance, Victoria, Australia

30. Dispelling the myths of urban flood inundation modelling

31. Flood risk in urban areas caused by levee breaching

32. RISK-EOS flood risk analysis service for Europe

33. Flood inundation modelling: Model choice and application

34. Risk maps of torrential rainstorms

35. Decision Support System for flood forecasting and risk mitigation in the context of Romanian water sector

36. Developing a rapid mapping and monitoring service for flood management using remote sensing techniques

37. A framework for Decision Support Systems for flood event management – application to the Thames and the Schelde Estuaries

38. Modelling tsunami overtopping of a sea defence by shallow-water Boussinesq, VOF and SPH methods

39. Modelling the 2005 Carlisle flood event using LISFLOOD-FP and TRENT

40. Experience of 1D and 2D flood modelling in Australia – a guide to model selection based on channel and floodplain characteristics

41. Computationally efficient flood water level prediction (with uncertainty)

42. Optimization of 2D flood models by semi-automated incorporation of flood diverting landscape elements

43. Understanding the runoff response of the Ourthe catchment using spatial and temporal characteristics of the storm field obtained by radar

44. The importance of spill conceptualizations and head loss coefficients in a quasi two-dimensional approach for river inundation modelling

45. Inundation scenario development for damage evaluation in polder areas

46. System analysis

47. Importance of river system behaviour in assessing flood risk

48. Development and evaluation of an integrated hydrological modelling tool for the Water Framework Directive and Floods Directive

49. A comparison of modelling methods for urban flood risk assessment

50. Coastal flood risk analysis driven by climatic and coastal morphological modelling

51. Micro-scale analysis of flood risk at the German Bight Coast

52. Flood hazard mapping for coastal storms in the Delta Ebro

53. RAMWASS Decision Support System (DSS) for the risk assessment of water-sediment-soil systems – application of a DSS prototype to a test site in the lower part of the Elbe river valley, Germany

54. Radar based nowcasting of rainfall events – analysis and assessment of a one-year continuum

55. On the quality of Pareto calibration solutions of conceptual rainfall-runoff models

56. Model reuse and management in flood risk modelling

57. International programmes

58. Flood Risk from Extreme Events (FREE): A NERC-directed research programme – understanding the science of flooding

59. Advances in flood risk management from the FLOODsite project

60. The Tyndall Centre Coastal Simulator and Interface (CoastS)

61. The social impacts of flooding in Scotland: A national and local analysis

62. The Flood Risk Management Research Consortium (FRMRC)

63. EIB financing for flood risk mitigation

64. One nation, one policy, one program flood risk management

65. Toward a transnational perspective on flood-related research in Europe – experiences from the CRUE ERA-Net

66. Infrastructure and assets

67. Hazards from wave overtopping

68. Time-dependent reliability analysis of anchored sheet pile walls

69. Analysis of tsunami hazards by modelling tsunami wave effects

70. Influence of management and maintenance on erosive impact of wave overtopping on grass covered slopes of dikes; Tests

71. Sea wall or sea front? Looking at engineering for Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management through different eyes

72. The new turner contemporary gallery – an example of an urban coastal flood risk assessment

73. EurOtop – overtopping and methods for assessing discharge

74. Reliable prediction of wave overtopping volumes using Bayesian neural networks

75. Calculation of fragility curves for flood defence assets

76. Reservoir flood risk in the UK

77. Modelling breach initiation and growth

78. A probabilistic failure model for large embankment dams

79. Reliability analysis of flood defence structures and systems in Europe

80. PCRIVER—software for probability based flood protection

81. Representing fragility of flood and coastal defences: Getting into the detail

82. Application of 3D serious games in levee inspection education

83. Strategic appraisal of flood risk management options over extended timescales: Combining scenario analysis with optimization

84. Embedding new science into practice – lessons from the development and application of a Performance-based asset management sys em

85. Study of flood embankment behaviour induced by air entrapment

86. Assessment of flood retention in polders using an interlinked one-two-dimensional hydraulic model

87. Fragility curve calculation for technical flood protection measures by the Monte Carlo analysis

88. Application of GMS system in the Czech Republic – practical use of IMPACT, FLOODSite and GEMSTONE projects outcomes

89. Failure modes and mechanisms for flood defence structures

90. Non-structural approaches (CRUE project)

91. Flood risk map perception through experimental graphic semiology

92. Quantifying the benefits of non-structural flood risk management measures

93. Efficiency of non-structural flood mitigation measures: “room for the river” and “retaining water in the landscape”

94. Flood risk reduction by PReserving and restOring river FLOODPLAINs – PRO_FLOODPLAIN

95. The use of non structural measures for reducing the flood risk in small urban catchments

96. EWASE—Early Warning Systems Efficiency: Evaluation of flood forecast reliability

97. Flood risk assessment in an Austrian municipality comprising the evaluation of effectiveness and efficiency of flood mitigatio measures

98. EWASE—Early Warning Systems Efficiency – risk assessment and efficiency analysis

99. Flood risk management strategies in European Member States considering structural and non-structural measures

100. Long term planning, integrated portfolios & spatial planning

101. The OpenMI-LIFE project – putting integrated modelling into practice in flood management

102. A method for developing long-term strategies for flood risk management

103. Flood Risk Mapping, using spatially based Systems Engineering

104. Finding a long term solution to flooding in Oxford: The challenges faced

105. Risk analysis and decision-making for optimal flood protection level in urban river management

106. An integrated risk-based multi criteria decision-support system for flood protection measures in riversheds—REISE

107. Integrated methodologies for flood risk management practice in European pilot sites

108. Underpinning flood risk management: A digital terrain model for the 21st century

109. Integrated land and water management in floodplains in England

110. Putting people and places at the centre: Improving institutional and social responses to flooding

111. Delivering Integrated Urban Drainage – current obstacles and a proposed SUDS planning support tool

112. Strategic planning for long-term Flood Risk Management – findings from case studies in Dresden and London

113. Extreme flood events & flood management strategy at the Slovak-Austrian part of the Morava river basin

114. Using non-structural responses to better manage flood risk in Glasgow

115. Vulnerability and resilience, human and social impacts

116. The policy preferences of citizens, scientists and policy makers

117. Analysis of the human and social impacts of flooding in Carlisle 2005 and Hull 2007

118. Institutional and social responses to flooding from a resilience perspective

119. Flood, vulnerability and resilience: A real-time study of local recovery following the floods of June 2007 in Hull

120. Increasing resilience to storm surge flooding: Risks, social networks and local champions

121. A new model to estimate risk to life for European flood events

122. Towards flood risk management with the people at risk: From scientific analysis to practice recommendations (and back)

123. Use of human dimensions factors in the United States and European Union

124. Double whammy? Are the most at risk the least aware? A study of environmental justice and awareness of flood risk in England a d Wales

125. Improving public safety in the United States – from Federal protection to shared flood risk reduction

126. Evaluating the benefits and limitations of property based flood resistance and resilience – a UK perspective

127. Flood risk management: Experiences from the Scheldt Estuary case study

128. Overcoming the barriers to household-level adaptation to flood risk

129. Human vulnerability to flash floods: Addressing physical exposure and behavioural questions

130. Assessment of extremes

131. Estimating extremes in a flood risk context. The FLOODsite approach

132. Inter-site dependence in extremes: Unlocking extra information

133. The Flood Estimation Handbook and UK practice: Past, present and future

134. Extreme precipitation mapping for flood risk assessment in ungauged basins of the upper Hron River basin in Slovakia

135. River flood frequency approaches for ungauged sites

136. Non-stationary point process models for extreme storm surges

137. Bayesian non-parametric quantile regression using splines for modelling wave heights

138. Multiscale probabilistic risk assessment

139. Improving the understanding of the risk from groundwater flooding in the UK

140. Radar observation of storm rainfall for flash-flood forecasting

141. Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers in Belgium

142. Uncertainties in 1D flood level modeling: Stochastic analysis of upstream discharge and friction parameter influence

143. Civil contingency, emergency planning, flood event management

144. Reservoir safety in England and Wales – reducing risk, safeguarding people

145. A comparison of evacuation models for flood event management – application on the Schelde and Thames Estuaries

146. Hydrodynamic and loss of life modelling for the 1953 Canvey Island flood

147. Short-range plain flood forecasting and risk management in the Bavarian Danube basin

148. Fast access to ASAR imagery for rapid mapping of flood events

149. Benefits of 2D modelling approach for urban flood management

150. Computer modelling of hydrodynamic conditions on the Lower Kuban under various scenarios and definition of limiting values of eleases from the Krasnodar, Shapsugsky and Varnavinsky hydrounits for prevention of flooding

151. Flood warning in the UK: Shifting the focus

152. New approaches to ex-post evaluation of risk reduction measures: The example of flood proofing in Dresden, Germany

153. Dilemmas in land use planning in flood prone areas

154. Emergency management of flood events in Alpine catchments

155. Flood forecasting and warning

156. Flood warning in smaller catchments

157. A prototype of road warning system in flood prone area

158. Snow and glacier melt – a distributed energy balance model within a flood forecasting system

159. Analysis of weather radar and rain gauges for flood forecasting

160. Integration of hydrological information and knowledge management for rapid decision-making within European flood warning centres

161. Local warning systems in Slovakia

162. The provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks

163. Managing flood risk in Bristol, UK – a fluvial & tidal combined forecasting challenge

164. Off-line flood warning concept for railways

165. Satellite observation of storm rainfall for flash-flood forecasting in small and medium-size basins

166. Potential warning services for groundwater and pluvial flooding

167. Data assimilation and adaptive real-time forecasting of water levels in the river Eden catchment, UK

168. To which extent do rainfall estimation uncertainties limit the accuracy of flash flood forecasts?

169. Advances in radar-based flood warning systems. The EHIMI system and the experience in the Besòs flash-flood pilot basin

170. Flash flood risk management: Advances in hydrological forecasting and warning

171. Decision support system for flood forecasting in the Guadalquivir river basin

172. Operational flash flood forecasting chain using hydrological and pluviometric precursors

173. Online updating procedures for flood forecasting with a continuous rainfall-runoff-model

174. GIS technology in water resources parameter extraction in flood forecasting

175. Combining weather radar and raingauge data for hydrologic applications

176. The worst North Sea storm surge for 50 years: Performance of the forecasting system and implications for decision makers

177. Probabilistic coastal flood forecasting

178. Coastal flood inundation modelling for North Sea lowlands

179. New north east of England tidal flood forecasting system

180. Impact of extreme waves and water levels in the south Baltic Sea

181. Bayesian rainfall thresholds for flash flood guidance

182. Environmental impacts, morphology & sediments

183. Assessment of hydraulic, economic and ecological impacts of flood polder management – a case study from the Elbe River, Germany

184. Development of estuary morphology models

185. A GIS-based risk assessment methodology for flood pollutants

186. Environmental impact of flash floods in Hungary

187. Predicting beach morphology as part of flood risk assessment

188. Alkborough scheme reduces extreme water levels in the Humber Estuary and creates new habitat

189. Managing coastal change: Walberswick to Dunwich

190. Uncertainties in the parameterisation of rainfall-runoff-models to quantify land-use effects in flood risk assessment

191. Impact of the barrage construction on the hydrodynamic process in the severn estuary using a 2D finite volume model

192. Risk sharing, equity and social justice

193. From knowledge management to prevention strategies: The example of the tools developed by French insurers

194. What’s ‘fair’ about flood and coastal erosion risk management? A case study evaluation of policies and attitudes in England

195. Flood risk perceptions in the Dutch province of Zeeland: Does the public still support current policies?

196. A partnership approach – public flood risk management and private insurance

197. The international teaching module FLOODmaster – an integrated part of a European educational platform on flood risk management

198. Decision support for strategic flood risk planning – a generic conceptual model

199. Who benefits from flood management policies?

200. Uncertainty

201. Long term planning – robust strategic decision making in the face of gross uncertainty (tools and application to the Thames)

202. Anticipatory water management for advanced flood control

203. Staged uncertainty and sensitivity analysis within flood risk analysis

204. Assessing uncertainty in rainfall-runoff models: Application of data-driven models

205. Flash floods

206. European flash floods data collation and analysis

207. Representative flash flood events in Romania Case studies

208. Changes in flooding pattern after dam construction in Zadorra river (Spain): The events of October 1953 and February 2003

209. Post flash flood field investigations and analyses: Proposal of a methodology and illustrations of its application

210. Hydrological and hydraulic analysis of the flash flood event on 25 October 2007 in North-Eastern part of Sicily, Italy

211. The day roads became rivers: A GIS-based assessment of flash floods in Worcester

212. Risk and economic assessments

213. Flood risk mapping of Austrian railway lines

214. Correlation in time and space: Economic assessment of flood risk with the Risk Management Solutions (RMS) UK River Flood Model

215. A case study of the Thames Gateway: Flood risk, planning policy and insurance loss potential

216. Integration of accurate 2D inundation modelling, vector land use database and economic damage evaluation

217. Planning for flood damages reduction: A case study

218. High resolution inundation modelling as part of a multi-hazard loss modelling tool

219. Estimation of flood losses due to business interruption

220. Residential flood losses in Perth, Western Australia

221. A multicriteria flood risk assessment and mapping approach

222. New developments in maximizing flood warning response and benefit strategies

223. Development of a damage and casualties tool for river floods in northern Thailand

224. Synthetic water level building damage relationships for GIS-supported flood vulnerability modeling of residential properties

225. Impacts of the summer 2007 floods on agriculture in England

226. Climate change

227. Simulating flood-peak probability in the Rhine basin and the effect of climate change

228. Climate changes in extreme precipitation events in the Elbe catchment of Saxony

229. A methodology for adapting local drainage to climate change

230. Exploring and evaluating futures of riverine flood risk systems – the example of the Elbe River

231. Author index

232. Back cover