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The Structure of Scientific Inference 2023

1. Cover

2. Title

3. Copyright

4. Contents 1

5. Acknowledgments

6. Introduction THE TASK OF A LOGIC OF SCIENCE

7. CHAPTER ONE Theory and Observation 1. Is there an independent observation language?

8. II. Entrenchment

9. III. The network model

10. IV. Theoretical predicates

11. V. Theories

12. VI. Conclusion

13. CHAPTER TWO A Network Model of Universals 1. The problem of universals

14. II. The correspondence postulate

15. III. Coherence conditions

16. IV. Some epistemological consequences

17. V. Meaning-change

18. VI. Goodman’s strictures on similarity

19. VII. Absolute universals again

20. CHAPTER THREE The Grue Paradox I. Principles of solution

21. II. Objective tests of ‘grue’

22. III. Meaning variance and entrenchment

23. CHAPTER FOUR The Logic of Induction as Explication I. Hume s legacy

24. II. A more modest programme

25. III. Probabilistic confirmation

26. CHAPTER FIVE Personalist Probability I. Axioms and interpretation

27. II. Bayesian methods

28. III. Convergence of opinion

29. IV. Non-Bayesian transformations

30. V. Uncertain evidence

31. CHAPTER SIX Bayesian Confirmation Theory I. The positive relevance criterion

32. II. The transitivity paradox

33. III. Suggested resolutions

34. CHAPTER SEVEN Universal Generalizations I. Exchangeability and clustering

35. II. The raven paradoxes

36. III. Clustering in Carnap’s confirmation theory

37. IV. Extension to analogical argument

38. V. Causal laws and eliminative induction

39. CHAPTER EIGHT Finiteness, Laws and Causality 1. The distribution of initial probabilities

40. II. The probability of laws

41. III. The necessity of laws

42. CHAPTER NINE Theory as Analogy I. Some false moves: ‘acceptance’ and ‘explanation’

43. II. Deduction from phenomena

44. III. Whewell’s consilience of inductions

45. IV. The analogical character of theories

46. V. The function of models

47. VI. Identification of theoretical predicates

48. CHAPTER TEN Simplicity I. Subjective and notational simplicity

49. II. Content

50. III. Economy and clustering

51. IV. The principle of relativity and classical electrodynamics

52. V. Einstein’s logic of theory structure

53. VI. Summary

54. CHAPTER ELEVEN Maxwell’s Logic of Analogy I. Hypothetical, mathematical and analogical methods

55. II. Experimental identifications

56. III. The electrodynamic theory

57. IV. Meaning variance and experimental identifications

58. CHAPTER TWELVE A Realist Interpretation of Science I. The aims of science

59. II. From naive realism to pluralism

60. III. Realism and relativity

61. IV. The cumulative character of science

62. Index of Names

63. Index of Subjects